Policy
Strong laws; complex compliance stalls EU growth Simplify: one rulebook, one portal, safe patterns Tie public compute to pre-cleared controls; update annually EU’s digital rules now have teeth.
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Manufacturing wanes; services must absorb workers Shift factory skills into productive service roles Fund wage insurance, fast training, placement targets The decline of manufacturing in Germany isn’t just a predict
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Japan’s chip revival must be talent-first Play niches—packaging, sensors, photonics—over a scale race Tie subsidies to audited workforce and yield outcomes The scariest number in the chip biz isn't about cash or size.
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WTO paralysis spurs tariffs and subsidies—an industrial policy arms race Replace blanket tariffs with evidence-based, sunset countervailing duties Prioritize resilient skills; publish subsidy math to restore trust By 2025, t
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China centralizes iron ore power Simandou adds leverage and options Train procurement to protect budgets In late 2025, China, which accounts for almost three-quarters of the world's seaborne iron ore trade, showed its str
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Raise base pay to close gaps and stabilize schools Use low-bias bonuses to retain high-impact teachers in hard posts Pair pay reform with clean screening and clear metrics to lift quality We’re facing a serious probl
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Trump 2.0 tariffs: 10% floor, 15% for dealmakers Campus costs climb—labs, AI gear, construction—equity gaps widen Plan for persistence: pool procurement, secure exemptions, fund aid and labs We often hear that tari
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Nationalist politics inflates Japan–China business costs, risking $292.6B in trade Controls and bans snarl inputs, travel, and seafood, squeezing factories and SMEs The fix: de-risk, don’t decouple—transparent dashboards, precise licenses, targeted insurance
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A Taiwan Strait shock would choke energy, chips, and shipping that keep East Asia learning Japan/Korea: oil-route risks; ASEAN: migrant, logistics, student shocks Protect schools now—fuel, offline kits, spares, regional compact
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Capitals dominate because jobs concentrate, not because productivity lags elsewhere Move demand and decision rights to secondary cities to thicken labor markets Align education pipelines and public procurement to reward distributed hiring and retention
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Ageing Europe needs an optimal immigration level Set ~0.6–1.0% yearly, adjusted by jobs, housing, and language Link flows to capacity and invest to keep growth and trust Across the EU, the old-age dependency
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Closing gender and 60+ gaps offsets ageing Frontiers need more hours; laggards need jobs and childcare Use 5-year targets, neutral taxes, late-career training In 2024, the European Union still had a gender employment gap of 1
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LDP hegemony breaks; multipartism rises Japan political diversification is reshaping education Act now: language support, student metrics, local compacts Japan's politics are not just shifting to the right; they are changing dramatic
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Asian subsidies—especially in steel—distort prices and trade Make subsidies conditional on training and shared curricula Compete on skills to cut tariffs and lift productivity Two numbers tell the story.
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Industrial subsidy wars starve education just as industry needs more skilled workers Rivalry is shifting from price to rules, making compliance and MRV literacy essential Redirect subsidies into a “Skills Safe Harbor” that funds verifiable training and apprenticeships
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A 15% global minimum tax cuts shifting and anchors profits to real activity More onshore earnings strengthen in-house finance and level competition; havens shrink The U.S.
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Osaka second capital now anchors a fragile coalition Capital shift could widen or rebalance regional education Classrooms can use this debate to teach coalition politics Japan’s new government was formed with two seats short.
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Japan–China tensions are now a social problem; deterrence alone cannot steady the region Dedicate a sliver of rising defense spend to history education, exchanges, and crisis literacy Pair hard power with hard learning so classrooms absorb shocks instead of amplifying them
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